《即日市評》俄烏「開火」 恆指失兩萬三 港交所捱沽
俄烏局勢急轉直下,俄羅斯展開軍事行動及並指正使用精確制導武器摧毀烏克蘭軍事設施和航空部隊,港股隨外圍股市下滑,恆指失守兩萬三關。俄羅斯盧布兌美元一度跌逾10%,創歷史新低,俄羅斯RTS指數下瀉近50%,MOEX俄羅斯指數下瀉逾45%。執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.899厘,美匯指數升至96.61,美股道指期貨最新跌647點或近2%,納指期貨最新跌2.4%。上證綜指全日跌59點或1.7%收3,429點,深證成指跌2.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.36萬億人民幣。
恆指今早低開392點後跌幅擴大,曾跌873點一度低見22,786點,最終全日跌758點或3.21%,收22,901點;國指跌286點或3.44%,收8,030點;恆生科技指數跌229點或4.33%,報5,069點。大市全日成交總額增至1,769.57億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入8.32億及15.38億元人民幣。俄鋁(00486.HK)全日股價挫10.7%收6.5元。
【科技股受壓 銀行股造淡】
科技股受壓,騰訊(00700.HK)跌3.9%。銀行股亦造淡,匯控(00005.HK)股價下滑3.4%收56.15元,渣打(02888.HK)股價走低6.4%收57.3元,中銀香港(02388.HK)走低2%。瑞銀發表報告指出,俄羅斯與烏克蘭不斷升級的緊張局勢中,美國政府周二(22日)宣布對俄羅斯國有開發銀行(VEB)及俄羅斯軍事銀行(PSB)實施制裁,並全面限制俄羅斯的主權債務,切斷其與西方的融資渠道。該行認為,對於內地及香港銀行而言,他們於俄羅斯的直接業務風險敞口較小,故相信受上述制裁的直接影響有限。
瑞銀引述研究中美關係的專家指出,除非中國積極介入俄羅斯與烏克蘭問題,並表態支持俄羅斯,否則美國對內地與香港銀行實施金融制裁的可能性很低,相信內地與香港銀行短期內或具防守性。
【跌股千六隻 港交所受壓】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為6比38(上日為23比15),下跌股份1,634隻(跌幅3.6%),恆指成份股今日5隻股份上升,下跌股份58隻,升跌比率為8比91(上日為45比48);大市今日錄沽空292.54億元,佔可沽空股份成交額億1,457.26元的20.074%(上日為19.468%)。
港交所(00388.HK)全日股價下滑5.4%收394.6元。港交所中午去年純利125.35億元,按年9%,創歷史新高,符合本網綜合15間券商預測中位數125.56億元;每股盈利9.91元。派第二次中期股息每股4.18元,較2020年第二次中期息減少6%。連同第一次中期股息每股4.69元,全年股息為每股8.87元,較2020年增長9%。
港交所去年收入及其他收益達209.5億元,創紀錄按年增長9.2%,符合本網綜合12間券商預測中位數210.35億元。全年投資收益淨額按年減少41.5%至13.04億元。(wl/a)
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