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大行每日評級 | 大行看好軟飲啤酒市場未來發展

中金:首予雲音樂(09899.HK)跑贏行業 評級目標223港元中金髮表報告表示,首予雲音樂(09899.HK)跑贏行業評級,目標價爲223港元,相信該平臺瞭解年輕用戶,創新功能是其音樂聽衆羣的核心吸引力,對其增長潛力持樂觀看法。報告補充,雲音樂提供的曝光率、粉絲羣和潛在收入對獨立音樂人具有吸引力,預計受版權保護的內容、公司現有的社區和原創音樂之間,會產生更強的協同作用。中金預計,雲音樂的內容生態系統和短期每月活躍用戶增長會有所改善,隨着變現渠道的多樣化,公司的盈利能力應該會提高。該行預期,中期內,隨着差異化的產品體驗和豐富的內容供應,將推動付費用戶佔比的增加,長遠來看預計公司將減少折扣並提高價格,以實現更高的每付費用戶平均收入 。

中金:青島啤酒(00168.HK)高端化穩步推進 料可提價抵銷成本壓力中金髮表研究報告指,青島啤酒(00168.HK)發盈喜,預期2021年純利將按年增長43%至31.5億元人民幣,符合預期。報告提及,疫情反覆對全年銷量造成壓力,考慮到公司聚焦於餐飲市場,估計全年銷量按年增幅僅達低單位數,其中低端產品下跌較多,但由於內地高端化趨勢依然,預期公司高端產品仍可持續實現雙位數增長。中金錶示,計及2021年的賣地收益及原料成本上漲,相應下調2022年純利預測至32.7億元人民幣,預期2023年純利將達到39.31億元人民幣,維持H股目標價80港元,對應2022至2023年預測市盈率的28倍及23倍,維持跑贏行業評級。

中金:維持申洲國際(02313.HK)“跑贏行業”評級 目標價190.01港元中金髮布研究報告稱,維持申洲國際(02313.HK)“跑贏行業”評級,保持2021/22/23年EPS預測3.2/4.08/5.18元不變,當前股價對應32/25倍2022e/23e市盈率,目標價190.01港元,對應40/31倍2022/23年市盈率,較當前股價有27%的上行空間。

摩根士丹利:下調華潤啤酒(00291.HK)目標價至70港元 評級增持摩根士丹利發表報告,考慮到局部疫情對銷售量的負面影響,以及品牌和營銷的銷售費用增加,將潤啤(00291.HK)2021年的每股盈利預期降低8%。同時將去年的銷售預測降低5%,並保持平均銷售價格預測不變。至於去年銷售及行政開支預測升70個基點,以反映銷售去槓桿化和對次高端及以上啤酒領域的持續營銷投資。大摩將潤啤2022年的每股盈利預測降低11%,以反映銷售預測降低6%,但被去年9月宣佈的加價和持續的組合升級而部分抵銷。基於較低的2022年估計,2023年每股盈利預測亦下降10%。目標價亦由78港元下調至70港元,以反映每股盈利預期下調,評級增持。匯豐研究:下調莎莎國際(00178.HK)目標價至1.6港元 評級持有匯豐研究發表報告指,莎莎(00178.HK)的現金狀況有所改善,但疫情復甦將推遲通關進度。該行認爲其削減成本的空間有限,短期內消費情緒疲軟,並對長期前景保持謹慎,維持持有評級,目標價從1.8港元降至1.6港元。報告指,莎莎截至去年底止第三財季的收入按年增長5%,主要由香港零售銷售按年增長14%、網上業務按年增長20%和馬來西亞營業額按年增長4%所推動。淨現金亦從2021年9月的2.68億元的低谷提高到12月底的3.13億元。滙豐研究將莎莎2022財年或2023財年的盈利預測分別削減5%和15%,主要是考慮到延遲通關以及中國大陸和在線銷售的疲軟,但2024財年的預測基本保持不變。

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