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植耀輝: 美股續震盪納指收市倒升 港股連續三日反彈
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(10日)又再大幅波動,三大指數早段再度大跌,道指跌幅便曾接近600點,納指跌幅亦曾接近2.7%。不過隨著科技股低位見有支持並反彈,大市跌幅亦不斷收窄,納指更倒升收市,收報14,942點,微升6點。至於標普500指數跌幅亦收窄至僅6點,收報4,670點。道指則下跌162點,收報36,068點。 至於港股,在踏入新一年後表現反覆,近期走勢略有改善,上周在下試22,700點後隨即出現反彈,個別早前急跌之新經濟股如阿里巴巴(09988.HK)便由低位反彈超過一成,阿里健康(00241.HK)更誇張,短短三個交易日由低位反彈接近26%。只是本輪上升是否轉勢仍言之尚早,皆因升勢較集中於弱勢股身上,例如阿里健康等股價上周便一度創至少一年新低。此外,美國加息步伐或較預期更「鷹」亦會對金融市場帶來變數,加上中港兩地疫情反覆對經濟前景亦會帶來挑戰。何況港股即使出現反彈,但至今仍未能擺脫23,000至24,000點區間,故亦不妨稍作觀望,待走勢轉趨明朗再出擊也不遲。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) *********** 港股續觀望23,500點支持 耀才研究部稱,隔晚(10日)美股急挫後回穩,高盛料聯儲局今年加息4次,美國10年期債息升穿1.8厘,高見1.809厘,加上市場發現一種結合Omicron與Delta病毒特性的新型新冠病毒變異株「Deltacron」,目前已發現25起確診病例,拖累大市全線下挫。道指最多跌近600點,納指曾挫3%,不過其後10年債息倒跌0.17個基點,報1.76厘,帶動股指收市靠穩,道指收跌162點,納指倒升0.05%。市場觀望聯儲局主席鮑威爾將於周二(11日)出席參議院的提名聽證會,關注局方對加息步伐的取態。市場進入加息周期,金融股表現較強,匯控(00005.HK)ADR逆市向上;中國國常會要求部署加快重要項目投資,提振國內消費,儘快將去年四季度發行的1.2萬億元人民幣地方政府專項債券資金落到具體項目,帶動基建股走強。 技術走勢來看,恆指上周五連續第二個交易日造好,並升穿10天及20天線阻力,走勢似有所改善。不過23,500點之上阻力亦相當明顯,而且港股早前累跌不少,不排除屬超跌後之技術反彈,預期恆指須企穩23,600點之上,走勢始有望轉好。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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