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郭思治: 大市有機會漸形成一小雙底
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連續兩日急升後,技術上已明顯轉穩,以恆指上周五(7日)報收在23,493點計,即已成功重越10天線(23,214點)及20天線(23,291點),單從走勢上看,大市該已初呈回穩之信號,而自本月6日低位22,709點開始之反彈,衹要成交金額保持暢順,短期後市該可先上試本月3日之高位23,605點,大市如能突破此關,則本月大市之形態將可扭轉為先低而後高,技術上當有利於本月後市之發展,單從移動線方面看,其時之上望目標該為50天線(24,122點)。 拉闊一點看,大市自去年12月20日低位22,665點開始之反彈,技術上受制於本月3日之高位23,605點,而自23,605點開始之回落,暫已喘定於6日之低位22,709點,從走勢上看,22,665點及22,709點似漸形成一跨月月份之小雙底,但暫時未能被確認,惟如大市能成功突破23,605點,則該可初步確認此小雙底,由於其時恆指已初呈一個W形態,只要動力能作配合,後市該可望伺機上試50天線(24,122點)。 今潮反彈,除新經濟股略見回升外,最重要的是舊經濟股多見轉勢,如匯控(00005.HK)及中移動(00941.HK)正緊扣50元,平安(02318.HK)已成功重越60元,友邦(01299.HK)亦已重越80元,另建行(00939.HK),工行(01398.HK)及中行(03988.HK)等均自低位已反彈超過10%,在舊經濟股轉強下,今潮反彈市該有機會稍延長。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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