植耀輝: 加息陰霾再現美股急跌 港股23,000點關口爭持
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,雖然ADP私人就業數據遠勝市場預期,但聯儲局上月議息會議紀錄釋出鷹派言論,令科技股大幅急挫,隔晚(5日)道指下跌392點或1.07%,收報36,407點,標普500指數亦跌1.94%,收報4,700點,納指跌幅則達到522點或3.34%,收報15,100點。
港股方面,昨日在新經濟股拖累下又再度急跌,跌幅更一度擴大至438點,雖然尾市跌幅稍為收窄,但全日計仍大跌382點或1.6%,收報22,907點,全日總成交達到1,553億元。值得一提的是,計及昨日收市表現,恆指已連續第八個交易日出現陰燭,而踏入2022年後首三個交易日,恆指累跌2.1%,科技更已累跌6.1%。
成份股中以美團(03690.HK)跌幅最大,達到11.2%,事實上單是一隻美團,已拖累恆指大跌194點,故即使匯控(00005.HK)及中資金融股造好,中移動(00941.HK)亦升3%,但仍無法抵銷美團及其他新經濟股份之影響。另外,不少板塊亦遭到拋售,物管股繼續捱沽,濠賭股亦受疫情拖累而大跌。
照現時情況,由於投資者對新經濟股減持之憂慮進一步升溫,相關股份短期恐怕仍會繼續尋底,連帶之下對恆指表現亦有影響。由於港股初步已失守23,000點水平,下一支持位將是去年12月低位22,665點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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大市成交增多向下突破
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(5日)美股全線下跌,三大指數跌1%-3%。美國聯儲局上月議息會議記錄顯示,2022年預期將會加息三次,每次加幅為0.25厘,2023年進一步加息三次,2024再上調利率兩次,並指預期加快收水減買債行動,今年3月將結束收水。受聯儲局「放鷹」影響,美國10年期債息抽升至1.7厘,拖累多隻科網股受壓,納指跌超3%。在港科網股連日弱勢,恆指昨日成交增大下至1,500億跌穿23,000點支持,將即市支持下移至近期的52週低位22,665點。
技術走勢來看,恆指持續受壓於20天線,而且14RSI未曾跌破過50的水平,反彈力度有限,反而成交量於跌穿23,000點時增大,恆指未能打破一浪低於一浪的格局,下試新低機會仍較高。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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