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美股全線上揚,美元飆升,美債收益率上漲,隔夜發生了什麼?
uSMART盈立智投 11-17 09:55

高盛週二發佈了對市場的樂觀展望,首席美國股票策略師考斯汀(David Kostin)說,他預計持續的收益增長將推動標準普爾500指數在2022年底升至5,100點,回報率約爲9%。

美國股市週二走高,此前美國公佈強勁的10月零售銷售報告,以及家得寶(Home Depot)和沃爾瑪(Walmart)優於預期的第三季業績,暗示即使面對物價上漲,美國消費者仍在增加支出。

道瓊斯工業平均指數上漲54.77點,至36142.22點,漲幅0.15%。標準普爾500指數上漲0.39%,至4,700.90點,納斯達克綜合指數上漲0.76%,至15,973.86點。在本月早些時候創下紀錄後,主要股指最近幾天一直停滯不前。

美元指數也上行0.5%至95.906,美國10年債券收益率上漲2個基點至1.633%。美股,美債收益率,美元上漲背後也凸顯在零售數據後,市場對經濟持續復甦樂觀程度增加,但同時也是對通脹持續高企的預期。

最新的10月份零售數據顯示,消費者支出增加,銷售額躍升1.7%。相比之下,前一個月增長了0.8%。該報告顯示,從汽車到體育用品等多個行業都表現強勁。網上銷售較上年同期增長10.2%。儘管上月消費者價格指數(CPI)較上年同期飆升6.2%,這是上世紀90年代以來的最高水平,但是目前還未明顯影響消費水平。

E-Trade的Mike Loewengart表示,"鑑於強勁的零售銷售數據和強勁的零售業績開局,很明顯通脹不會妨礙消費者消費。"儘管就業市場和通脹方面出現了一些問題,但目前數據表明經濟仍在穩步前進。隨着假日購物季的臨近,問題是零售商第三季度的好於預期的數據能否持續到2021年結束。」

CFRA Research首席投資策略師薩姆•斯託瓦爾(Sam Stovall)表示,在某種程度上,投資者預期零售收益會強勁。他表示:「11月初,非必需消費品重新進入標準普爾指數的前四大板塊。」因此,投資者對家得寶(Home Depot)和沃爾瑪(Walmart)將公佈的收益以及零售銷售數據抱有很高的期望。從某種意義上說,他們預測這將會發生,我們將看到零售銷售的持續強勁和持續復甦。」

高盛(Goldman Sachs)表示,收益超過預期至少會持續到2022年。該公司週二發佈了對市場的樂觀展望,首席美國股票策略師考斯汀(David Kostin)說,他預計持續的收益增長將推動標準普爾500指數在2022年底升至5,100點,回報率約爲9%。

特斯拉股價隔夜上漲4%,收復了週一以來的全部損失,此前首席執行官埃隆•馬斯克上週出售了近70億美元的特斯拉股票。儘管如此,這家電動汽車製造商上週還是下跌了15.4%,爲2020年3月以來的最大跌幅。

與此同時,電動汽車初創企業Lucid的股價飆升了23.7%,此前該公司高管告訴投資者,對首批電動汽車的預訂已經增加,2022年的生產計劃仍在按計劃進行。這使得它的市值達到了890億美元,超過了福特。這仍遠低於特斯拉今年1萬億美元的市值。

隨着投資者繼續消化上週公佈的經濟數據,加劇了對通貨膨脹加劇的擔憂,週一市場結束了動盪的交易,主要股指最終小幅收低。

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