中物聯:首三季物流業總收入按年增17.6%
中國物流與採購聯合會發布數據顯示,今年首三季度,社會物流總費用12.1萬億元人民幣(下同),比上年增長15%,增速較上半年明顯回落。從短期來看,與上年同期疫情期間相比,物流運行效率有所改善,供應鏈韌性不斷提高,成爲支撐國民經濟恢復的穩定力量。
期內,物流業總收入8.7萬億元,按年增長17.6%。從年內情況看,物流市場規模、增速均高於疫情前2019年同期水平,兩年年均增速保持8%至10%的中高速增長,顯示物流市場恢復穩中向好,市場信心不斷提振。
中物聯表示,從全年走勢來看,四季度全球經濟復甦和疫情發展仍然存在較多不確定因素,但經濟恢復仍有較強支撐。供給端,主動調控、限產限電、能源供給緊張在四季度有望改善。需求端,生產製造或將延續恢復態勢,消費相關的新業態、新動能仍有望維持較快增長。在此背景下,物流產業將保持穩中有進的發展態勢。
從業務活動預期指數看,業務活動預期指數回升至60以上高位,物流行業長期向好的基本面沒有改變,企業對物流市場恢復保持樂觀。綜合來看,預計全年物流需求有望保持中高速增長,社會物流總額全年增長10%左右。
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