植耀輝: 美股個別發展 港股後市還看50天線
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(18日)呈個別發展,道指微跌,納指則在科技股造好下上升。本週開始輪到科技巨企公佈季績,投資者普遍呈樂觀看法。最終道指下跌36點,收報35,258點,標普500指數上升15點,收報4,486點,納指上升124點,收報15,021點。
至於港股,昨日走勢呈反覆靠穩,早段高開後在科技股走勢轉弱下拖累大市回落,不過收市前在「ATM」股價回穩下最終恆指仍能回升,收報25,409點,上升78點,成交金額1,269.32億元。港股走勢近期確有所轉強,恆指亦持續於50天線(現時處於25,407點)附近上落,如能成功突破,則有機會扭轉下跌趨勢;當然,今年恆指亦曾多次突破50天線水平,惟始終未能企穩,故後市宜先行觀望。同時亦正如筆者一直強調,左右大市之因素仍多,而且昨日公佈之內地經濟數據普遍遜預期,投資者亦更關注內地在「雙限」措施下對第四季經濟會否帶來影響。預期恆指25,500點繼續會成爲後市一大焦點。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人,未持有相關股份)
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恆指將再度上試25,500點阻力
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(18日)美股三大指數收市個別發展,道指最多跌逾200點,收市回順只跌36點。納指表現最好升近1%,本週公佈業績的Tesla(TSLA.US)及Netflix(NFLX.US)績前抽高3%及2%,Tesla已連漲六日,股價突破870美元。美國9月工業生產下跌,油價輕微由升轉跌,布油仍收於每桶84美元之上。金龍中國指數收在逾一個月最高,蔚來汽車(NIO.US)和百度(BIDU.US)對指數貢獻最大。港股ADR升63點,恆指將再度上試25,500點阻力。個股方面,安踏(02020.HK)第三季以安踏品牌的零售金額按年增長位於10%至20%的低段,FILA品牌增長就有中單位數,至於其他品牌增長就有三成半至四成,升幅較上半年縮減。
從技術走勢上,恆指上試50天線25,500點,不過暫時未能成功,不過14RSI 已重返50之上有利好之勢,10天線上移的話大市將於約24,700點找到支持,目前大市將於此區間上落。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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