植耀輝: 季績佳美股續升 中國經濟數據成焦點
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上周在金融股季績理想支持下有好表現,並創六月以來最佳一周表現,三大指數升幅介乎1.5%至2.2%不等。本周續會有不少焦點股,包括Netflix及Tesla等便會公布季績。
港股方面,雖然上周只得三個交易日,但恆指表現仍相當不俗,累升493點之餘,亦是連續第三周上周,累積升幅達到1,138點或4.7%。恆指上升主要由科技股及匯控(00005.HK)帶動,美團(03690.HK)一周計便升近一成,另外多隻成份股普遍升幅亦達到9%以上;相比之下,個別體育用品股表現則較失色,安踏(02020.HK)一周跌幅便達7.6%。
展望本周表現,恆指正逐步逼近50天線阻力(25,400點附近),正如早前提到,以技術走勢而言,該水平屬關鍵阻力位,一旦突破形勢上當有利往後表現,惟該水平阻力不輕,加上左右大市因素仍多,今日內地便會公布一系列經濟數據,當中便包括第三季GDP表現。預期港股暫將維持上落市格局不變,並繼續於24,500至25,500點水平拉鋸。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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本周展望多間美國藍籌業績及中國經濟數據
耀才研究部稱,上周五(15日)美股三大指數全線向上,道指收市升382點,距離歷史高位僅欠0.9%;美國9月份零售銷售升0.7%;優於市場預期的下跌0.2%,布蘭特期油升破每桶85美元,為2018年10月以來首次,經濟復甦引領美國十年期債息尾段升6.13個基點,至1.572厘,債息上升則拖慢了科網股的升幅。展望本周,多間美國藍籌公布季績,包括特斯拉(TSLA.US)、Netflix(NFLX.US)、英特爾(INTC.US)、寶潔(PG.US)、美國運通(AXP.US)等等。中國方面今日(18日)將公布9月和第三季度宏觀數據,市場預期第三季GDP年增速可能放緩至5.2%左右;9月工業生產年增速或效緩至4.5%;社會消費品零售年增速則可能回升至3.3%,留意經濟數據能否為市場帶來驚喜。
從技術走勢上,恆指上試50天線25,500點,不過暫時未能成功,不過14RSI 已重返50之上有利好之勢,10天線上移的話大市將於約24,700點找到支持,目前大市將於此區間上落。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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