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郭思治: 在成交金額配合下 大市或伺機上試50天線
阿思達克 10-18 10:42
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,周來大市雖略見反覆,但由於恆指自成功重越10天線(24,650點)及20天線(24,618點)之後,技術上一直穩於此兩組平均移動線之上,故單從走勢上看,大市自5日低位23,681點開始之反彈,形態上仍未變差,值得留意的是,以上周五(15日)恆指報收於25,330點計,相對此潮反彈之高位為11日之25,437點計,差距僅得107點,即技術上該屬緊扣高台之格局,另外,當日大市之成交金額亦增至1,796億元,在動力配合下,短期後市該可進一步上尋月內新高。 再看移動線方面之表現,上文已說,恆指既能續穩守於10天線(24,650點)及20天線(24,618點)之上,即表示只要動力配合,短期後市該可候機再進一步上試或上破50天線(25,423點),由於50天線一般均代表整個中期後市之走勢,故只要恆指能成功重越其上,對整個後市該有頗正面之效應,但有一點需留意,10月21日恆大(03333.HK)能否支付8,353萬元美元債息將至為重要,因限期已滿,如恆大未能付息將屬違約,對一眾內房之外債而言,將會帶出負面後果,亦會影響目前正在反彈中的股市。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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