渣打:限電及恆大債務問題或影響第四季大灣區營商表現
渣打香港與貿發局公布第三季渣打大灣區營商景氣指數,現狀指數自第二季度的58.7下跌至52.7 ,預期指數自第二季的59.3下跌至57.9。渣打香港大中華區高級經濟師劉健恆表示,主要由於季內中國經濟受到新型肺炎變種病毒影響,經濟增長放緩。
他指,第三季度調查仍未反映恆大(03333.HK)債務問題及中國限電問題,劉健恆憂慮後者將拖累製造業表現,但相信中國政府將鼓勵短期煤炭產量提升,並允許增加煤炭進口,以限制經濟下行的風險,因此現時仍然難言第四季指數會否進一步向下。
按地區劃分,第三季度香港現狀指數47.6 ,低於50點水平,並為廣州、深圳、佛山、東莞,及澳門和其他城市之中最低。預期指數則為56.4,高於東莞的55.5 ,同樣低於其他大灣區城市。
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