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穆迪料當局設法降恆大(03333.HK)事件影響 將產生一定經濟成本
阿思達克 09-27 17:40
評級機構穆迪預期,中國政府在處理恆大(03333.HK)債務危機時,將致力於避免導致社會及金融不穩定,認為信貸危機對主權評級直接影響有限,但房地產行業長期放緩將損害地方政府收入,當局設法降低事件影響的同時亦可能會令行業蒙受經濟損失。 穆迪董事總經理、亞太區首席信用總監Michael Taylor表示在最新一份報告中表示,中國政府將努力防止恆大債務危機損害買家、相關供應商和承包商的權益,但由於恆大事件令內房商及其他發行人的融資渠道受到影響,部分銀行資產質量受損,並擾亂作為經濟增長重要驅動力的房地產市場,預期整體經濟將可能要承擔重大成本。 穆迪指,中國政府擁有避免金融不穩定的相關工具,並可以控制各種資產負債表以分擔任何損失,相信在處理過程中,將優先考慮零售債權人和客戶,預期不太可能通過直接注資直接救助恆大,國企以少幅度折讓作收購的可能性亦較小。 考慮到房地產行業對中國GDP的巨大貢獻,以及未來樓市未必可以如前幾個週期一樣強勁復甦,穆迪相信恆大債務危機將會抑制明年中國經濟增長,相信貨幣及財政政策可能會放鬆,以抵銷房地產行業放緩對整體經濟的影響,對中國房地產市場展望「負面」。
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