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植耀輝: 美股個別發展觀望數據 新經濟股續拖累大市
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(13日)個別發展,投資者觀望今晚公佈之CPI數據,道指及標普500指數反彈,至於納指則微跌9點。由於近期經濟數據普遍遜預期,因此CPI數據被視爲下週聯儲局議息會議之重要參考。另外,上週急跌之電子煙概念股仍未見起色,霧芯科技(RLX.US)便再大跌近11%。 回說港股方面,新經濟股昨日再度受監管消息拖累而急挫,連帶恆指亦受影響,一度急跌超過600點,雖然最終跌幅收窄至不足400點,但新經濟股表現如斯反覆,以及持續受政策因素左右,年內要重拾升勢似乎有相當難度;短期亦有另一關注點,就是美股去向。當然筆者並不認爲美股強勢會告一段落,不過本週將公佈通脹數據,下週又有議息會議,所以預期美股亦會較爲波動,因此預期港股將維持大型區間,亦即於25,000至26,500點水平上落。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) **************** 恆指首要目標仍需守住20天線水平 耀才研究部稱,隔晚(13日)美股三大指數收市個別發展,道指和標指反彈,蘋果(AAPL.US)將於9月14日舉行發佈會股價變動不大,不過納指繼續下跌;監管風險增多,金龍中國指數四連跌。恆大(03333.HK)發公告指負面報道影響購房者的信心,預期9月銷售持續大幅下降,加上出售集團資產未有重大進展,對現金流造成巨大壓力,亦無法保證繼續履行有關融資義務,消息將繼續拖累整個恆大系走勢。隔晚ADR變動不大,雖然騰訊(00700.HK)及小米(01810.HK)連日回購,不過整個科技板塊走勢仍偏弱,恆指首要目標仍需守住20天線水平。 從技術走勢上看,指數持續於20天線的水平爭持,指數仍有條件依保力加通道上軸的水準向上延伸,首要目標望50天線亦即7月26日的下跌裂口頂部,26878點。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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