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郭思治: 在動力減退下 大市走勢再見反覆
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過上周四(12日)之反覆回軟後,至上周五(13日)再進一步反覆,恆指於上周五先低開221點至26,296點,其後曾稍作後抽而倒升4點至26,521點,但由於買賣卻步,加上零碎沽壓又再現,故整個大市卒再回落,而大市更一度急回317點至26,200點方漸見喘定,末段略為回升,恆指最後報收26,391點,較上日跌126點,全日總成交金額為1,258億元,從走勢上看,大市自7月27日低位24,748點開始之反彈,至8月11日高位26,822點止計,累積之升幅已達2,074點,論幅度該不算小,故出現回吐乃正常現象,只是經過連續兩日之反覆回軟,恆指曾再跌穿20天線(26,487點)及10天線(26,370點),令移動線方面之表現再度示弱,情況暫雖不算太差,但投資氣氛已漸趨審慎,加上大市之成交金額漸見減退,在動力漸消下,即使大市能再稍作推升,惟亦只屬技術後抽而成。 一眾新經濟股仍續處反覆帶軟中,騰訊(00700.HK)於492元左近似已漸呈小雙頂,美團(03690.HK)則暫無法上破前跌浪之低位240元,至於阿里巴巴(09988.HK)則持續受制於200元之下,其他如快手(01024.HK)更在低位78.6元左近徘徊,由於一眾新經濟股之走勢仍處弱態中,故整個大市暫確難抱太多上望憧憬。 再看舊經濟股,友邦(01299.HK),匯控(00005.HK),港交所(00388.HK)及中移動(00941.HK)等雖仍見平穩,但暫該沒有條件急升,因整個大市之動力正逐步減弱,即是說,整個大市即使能稍作回升,亦只屬波幅性之後抽而已。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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