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植耀輝: 港股大升507點 友邦(01299.HK)100元阻力大
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,港股在周初連跌兩個交易日後昨日出現強勁反彈,大升507點,重上28,800點水平。恆指早段維持200至300點升幅,午後在友邦(01299.HK)發力,加上舜宇(02382.HK)及美團(03690.HK)等股份升幅進一步擴大,令恆指最終有理想升幅。大市成交金額亦升至1,565.6億元水平。

雖然恆指出現強勁反彈,但嚴格上亦只是重上之前區間,亦即28,500至29,500點水平。因此後市去向仍須看A股以至外圍情況。此外雖然港股昨日勁升,但北水仍錄得輕微淨流出,此亦是後市其中一個值得留意的情況。

股份方面,則不得不提友邦。雖然昨日升幅不算顯著,不過其在內地之發展又再有利好消息。該公司宣布已獲銀保監批准,於湖北籌建分公司,成為內地第9間分支機構。根據大行預期,基於湖北生產總值與四川相若,相信對友邦內地發展有利;不過股價長期受制於100元水平,且看今次能否有所突破。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有友邦股份)

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恆指首個阻力位仍在20天線

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(23日)美股先升後回,納指盤中曾突破14,300點關口,創新高見14,317點,但之後升幅收窄,而道指及標普500指數則輕微回落。小鵬(XPEV.US)傳快來港上市,電動車股當炒,TESLA(TSLA.US)上升5.3%,小鵬及理想(LI.US)則分別升4.1%及7.8%。港股ADR個別發展,即使昨日恆指顯著反彈,港股後市仍缺乏明確方向,「黑期」今早亦變動不大。從牛熊證街貨分佈圖上看,目前牛證重貨區在27,400至27,499點水平,而熊證重貨區則在30,000至30,099點水平,兩者與恆指現水平距離甚遠,下周二(29日)亦是期指結算日,相信恆指較大可能於本月仍維持上落待變之格局。

恆指昨日從保力加通道之底部以大陽燭反彈,目前宜留意恆指能否於短期後市重上保力加通道之中軸上(28,850點),指數如能成功突破此關,則有望擺脫月內創月新低之威脅,但一仍恆指仍未突破通道之頂部或底部,即28,300點至29,400點區間,中期後市仍缺乏明確方向。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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