郭思治: 恒指正与10天、20天、50天及100天线纠缠在一起
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市自上周三(2日)开始,至昨天(7日)止计连跌四天,恒指昨先高开67点至28,985点,其後再稍升至29,003点,但由於买盘不继,加上沽压又再渗着涌现,故整个大市卒掉头回落,而恒指更一度急回303点至28,615点方渐见喘定并作技术後抽,但由於买盘保守,故整个大市虽见喘定,但却未能作较明显之推升,恒指最後报收28,787点,较上日跌130点,全日总成交金额为1,444亿元,从技术上看,经过昨天之一跌,本月大市在先高後低之形态主导下,恒指暂是由2日之高位29,490点跌至7日之低位28,615点,即月内之波幅已稍扩阔至875点。
移动线方面之表现仍稍偏弱,以恒指昨报收在28,787点计,技术上仍反覆於10天线(29,090点)及100天线(29,007点)之下,惟暂仍稳於20天线(28,680点)及50天线(28,685点)之上,论形势该不算太差,但需留意,只要大市再稍作回落,技术上会进一步跌穿20天及50天线,当然,目前恒指正纠缠於上述4组平均移动线之中,一日未有升离或跌离之形态出现前,技术上只能视之为反覆待变之格局。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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