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植耀輝: 美股缺乏方向 恆指料高位整固
阿思達克 06-03 10:46
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(2日)缺乏方向,聯儲局褐皮書顯示,美國經濟於4、5月以較溫和速度擴張,通脹壓力則暫仍未退減;另一方面,科技股及能源股做好,不過原材料及消費類股份表現太失色,三大指數最終亦變化不大。道指微升25點,收報34,600點,標普500指數上升6點,收報4,208點,納指上升19點或0.14%,收報13,756點。

港股方面,恆指昨日走勢反覆,低開53點後跌幅一度擴大,但很快又出現反彈,最高見29,490點,不過升勢無以為繼,午後隨著A股走勢轉弱,加上科技股跌勢亦有所加深,令恆指跌勢加深,收市競價時間出現反彈,但全日計仍跌170點或0.58%,收報29,297點,大市成交金額1,502.3億元。成份股中以藥明生物(02269.HK)表現最差,下跌3%,創科(00669.HK)及蒙牛(02319.HK)跌幅亦達到3%。

至於早前強勢之科技股則個別發展,騰訊(00700.HK)、快手(01024.HK)及美團(03690.HK)變化不大,不過恆生科技指數個別股份跌幅不少,明源雲(00909.HK)便跌近4.5%,微盟(02013.HK)及比亞迪電子(00285.HK)亦下跌超過4%。

當然,以大市走勢而言,港股由5月中低位27,700點附近出現反彈,至今累升不少,加上A股表現亦一般,稍作回調亦正常,只是後市走勢如何,則短期仍要視乎A股表現,以及美國就業數據情況。但正如筆者早前指出,29,400點水平阻力並不輕,而且美國亦快將公布上月就業數據,相信投資觀望氣氛又再變得濃厚,預期大市將繼續於現水平上落,後市暫以29,000點作為好淡之分水嶺。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有騰訊股份)

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恆指首個支持位在29,000點關口

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(2日)美股造好,道指已連升第五日,國際油價繼續上升,即使油組維持逐增產安排,亦無阻油價升勢,紐約期油再創32個月新高,石油股亦繼續領漲道指。港股ADR靠穩,「黑期」今早(3日)亦跟隨外圍股市向好,指數今早有望繼續向上試高位。市場目前較關注的是美國就業數據,今晚將會公布有「小非農」之稱的ADP私人職位數據,而周五美國時間公布的非農就業數據將會是市場焦點,料環球股市於短期後市將會繼續維持觀望態度。

恆指走勢方面,指數亦於昨日成功突破4月29日高位29,405點之阻力,指數目前正貼近保力通道頂部之前,只要後市未有出現顯著回落,繼續企穩29,000點關口之上,而隨著通道擴闊,恆指有望於6月上旬向上試高位,目標該有望上試30,000點心理關口。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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