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《高盛認股證牛熊證》 平保迫近半年低位 資金趁低部署 留意低面值購15554、高槓桿購20005,近牛51341
阿思達克 05-04 11:01
正股表現:平保(2318)近期連日下跌,當中昨日跌約2.5%,今早情況繼續。早上低開約1%後跌幅擴大,最低見81.4元,迫近半年低位。現報81.5元,跌約1.6%。

有券商指對平保旗下平安人壽,將以370.5億至507.5億元人民幣對價,受讓新方正集團51.1%至70%的股權至珠海國資的華發集團,及當交易完成後,該公司將成為一個新的子公司及合併至平安集團的財務報表中。該行指交易將帶來突出的投資回報和長期的協同效應,給予對平保「增持」投資評級,目標價118元。

資金流向:觀察個股輪證資金流向,可見近期資金持續趁低吸納認購證,過去5個交易日皆錄得資金流入,合共約2,000萬元,為同期三大資金流入的認股證相關資產之一。而認沽證則於上週五及本週一共錄得約80萬元資金流入。牛熊證方面,則見昨日資金沽出78元以上收回價的牛證,並見流入牛證的資金集中在76至78元收回區域的產品。

產品選擇:由於平保連跌多日,使早前獲市場留意認購證,現時已價外,或不適合現況部署。因此投資者在部署時宜重新審視產品條款,避免選擇不合適的價外產品,從而減低波幅風險。

投資者如看好,認購證方面的長期選擇可留意價外幅度約9%,屬低面值的平安購15554。高槓桿選擇可留意屬短期的平安購20005。牛證方面的近牛選擇可留意平安牛51341,與現價有約6.5元收回距離。遠牛選擇可留意平安牛52757,與現價有約11.5元收回距離。

平安購15554,行使價88.93元,2022年12月23日到期,實際槓桿5.31倍,長期、低面值

平安購20005,行使價88.05元,2021年07月26日到期,實際槓桿17.31倍,短期、高槓桿

平安牛51341,收回價75元,行使價74.4元,換股比率100,槓桿比率11.1倍,相近收回價近牛中槓桿最高

平安牛52757,收回價70元,行使價69.4元,換股比率100,槓桿比率6.61倍,相近收回價遠牛中街貨較低

投資者如看淡,認沽證方面可留意年期約8個月,屬價內的低街貨平安沽23760。熊證方面可留意平安熊50432,與現價有約13.5元收回距離。

平安沽23760,行使價93.83元,2021年12月28日到期,實際槓桿4.31倍,價內、低街貨

平安熊50432,收回價95元,行使價95.6元,換股比率100,槓桿比率5.64倍,近13.5元收回距離熊證

註: 以上數據資料來自高盛認股證牛熊證網站https://www.gswarrants.com.hk/~

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