《高盛認股證牛熊證》 平保業績前受壓 中人壽造好 留意貼價平安購20005,高槓桿中壽購13213
正股表現:將於今早公布業績的平保(2318),昨日失守90元水平,收市跌約1.9%。今早則早段高見87.55元後倒跌,現報86.75元,跌約0.3%。有券商料平保今年首季歸屬於母公司股東的營運利潤達348億元人民幣,按年跌6%。壽險新業務價值達165億元人民幣,按年升5%。該行給予平保「增持」評級,目標價130元。
昨日跌約1%及發盈喜的中人壽(2628),今早則見反彈,最高見16.1元,突破過去十日高位。現報15.84元,升約1.7%。中人壽表示,經初步測算,料截至今年三月底止的第一季,純利介乎94億至128.18億元人民幣,按年升55%至75%。
資金流向:觀察個股輪證資金流向,可見近期資金持續在平保公布業績前吸納認購證,例如過去5個交易日皆錄得資金流入,合共約1,180萬元。而認沽證於昨日亦獲資金轉向流入。牛熊證方面,則見昨日資金沽出88元以上收回價的貼牛,並有部分轉倉至86至88元收回區域,及82元以下收回價的產品。而熊證則於昨日錄得資金轉向流入,及集中在96元以下收回價的產品。
中人壽方面,亦見近期資持續在中人壽公布業績前吸納好倉,過去5個交易日皆錄得資金流入,合共約660萬元。當中認購證及牛證分別佔約520萬及140萬元,及見昨日流入牛證的資金集中在14.5元以上收回價的產品。
產品選擇:投資者如看好平保,認購證方面的貼價選擇可留意價外幅度不足2%,年期約3個月的高槓桿平安購20005。低面值選擇可留意屬長年期的平安購18197。牛證方面可留意平安牛62775,與現價有約4.3元收回距離。
平安購20005,行使價88.05元,2021年07月26日到期,實際槓桿11.8倍,貼價、高槓桿
平安購18197,行使價91.05元,2021年12月22日到期,實際槓桿8.9倍,低面值、長年期
平安牛62775,收回價82.48元,行使價81.48元,換股比率100,槓桿比率15.2倍,相近收回價牛證中槓桿最高
投資者如看淡平保,認沽證方面可留意屬長年期的低街貨平安沽23760。熊證方面可留意屬市場上首三高槓桿之一的新上市平安熊50432,與現價有約8.3元收回距離。
平安沽23760,行使價93.83元,2021年12月28日到期,實際槓桿5.1倍,長年期、低街貨
平安熊50432,收回價95元,行使價95.6元,換股比率100,槓桿比率9.4倍,新上市、市場上首三高槓桿之一熊證
投資者如看好中人壽,認購證方面的高槓桿選擇可留意年期約4個月的低街貨中壽購13213。低面值選擇可留意屬長年期的中壽購22414。牛證方面可留意屬貼牛的中壽牛54056。
中壽購13213,行使價18.02元,2021年08月24日到期,實際槓桿10.5倍,高槓桿、低街貨
中壽購22414,行使價17.82元,2021年12月23日到期,實際槓桿7.9倍,低面值、長年期
中壽牛54056,收回價15.28元,行使價14.68元,換股比率50,槓桿比率12.8倍,高槓桿貼牛
投資者如看淡中人壽,可留意屬遠熊的中壽熊54162,與現價有約3.2元收回距離。
中壽熊54162,收回價19元,行使價19.4元,換股比率50,槓桿比率4.0倍,相近收回價遠熊中槓桿最高
註: 以上數據資料來自高盛認股證牛熊證網站https://www.gswarrants.com.hk/~
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