植耀辉: 美股个别发展纳指续跌 港股势弱考验低位支持
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美股隔晚(8日)继续显着波动,国会通过1.9万亿美元救助方案,利好传统经济股表现,道指便一度抽升超过600点,收市升幅则收窄至306点,收报31,802点,升幅约1%。不过科技股沽压持续,纳指开市早段虽曾反弹至13,000点之上,但亦很快无以为继,其後又再度急跌,最终更以接近全日最低位收市,下跌310点或2.41%,收报12,609点。标普500指数则收报3,821点,下跌0.54%。
至於港股,昨日走势继续亦大幅波动,新旧经济股可谓荣辱互见,早前热炒之SAAS概念股及汽车股继续大跌,反而金融及石油股等传统旧经济股则见资金追捧。港股短期形势仍颇不乐观,中美股市仍反覆向下,上综指更已跌破早前3,450点之重要支持水平,同时港股通亦出现显着净流出,情况反映後市或会进一步向下寻底。另外,经过本轮急跌後,不少股票恐怕已大伤元气,投资气氛短期亦难有改善,除非北水再度大举入市,否则在科技股弱势下,恒指将考验28,000点支持。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)
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恒指较关键的支持位退至28,259点
耀才研究部称,隔晚(8日)美股个别发展,科技股继续成为追沽对象,纳指收市跌逾2%,但道指则在盘中创下历史新高,收市升幅亦接近1%。港股ADR亦个别发展,汇控ADR升逾2%报48.84元,但科技股表现疲弱,腾讯ADR则下跌0.6%报638.49元,小米ADR则再跌3.3%报21.61元。「黑期」今早(9日)升逾150点见28650点水平,料恒指今早在旧经济股带动下有望先行高开100点以上。A股昨日先升後急挫,上证综合指数创下今年以来最低水平,并失守3,450点心理关口,技术上走势不容乐观,内地银根趋紧的忧虑一日未纾缓,A股短期後市的表现确实令人担心。
从技术上看,恒指昨日先升後跌,再次出现「穿头破脚」的利淡形态,亦创下月内新低,短期後市较关键的支持位将退至1月29日低位28,259点,只要恒指未有跌穿此关,年初至今的升浪仍维持浪高於浪之形态,中期後市看法仍十分乐观。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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