郭思治: 大市目标直指29,174点
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天(14日)大市在稳步中再创月内新高,恒指早市先高开173点至28,408点,其後曾稍反覆而低见28280点,惟在腾讯(00700.HK),阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美团点评(03690.HK)等做好刺激下续步推升至28,510点方渐受规限,即大市其时已再创月内新高,恒指最後报收28,496点,较上日升261点,全日总成交金额为2,077亿元,经过昨天之升市,本月大市之波幅已扩阔至1,431点,恒指暂是由4日之低位27,079点升至14日之高位28,510点。
从走势上看,大市目前之上望目标该为去年1月20日之高位29,174点,此亦为去年全年之高位,大市一旦突破此关,另一个上望目标该为2019年4月15日之高位30,280点,此亦为2019年全年之高位,惟目前大市虽具备续试顶之形态,但成交金额方面却似未能配合,虽以2,077亿元的成交金额已不算少,但目前大市技术上是欲试去年之高台,故成交金额最好有达2,400亿元以上,动力如不配合,担心升势会渐受规限。
另外,目前10天线已升至27,839点,并正以每天约135点之速度上升中,故大市必需持续稳守於10天线之上,方能处续寻顶之形态中。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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