郭思治: 大市再创月内新高 惟动力却不相配
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天(12日)大市先软而後升,恒指最後更以全日最高位收市,且亦再创月内之新高,恒指昨先轻微低开14点至27,894点,其後再进一步跌至27,781点方渐见喘定并作技术後抽,在个别重磅恒指成份股做好带动下,大市升势转趋明显,最後更高收至28,276点,较上日急升368点,惟全日之成交金额则略回落至1,990亿元,经昨天之急升,本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,月内之波幅已稍扩阔至1,197点(4日之低位27,079点升至12日之高位28,276点)。
大市虽处续寻顶之势头中,但成交金额却未见配合,即是说,大市之动力似稍见退减,故在续上望之余,当需慎防大市於高台渐转反覆,加上是潮自去年12月22日低位25,998点开始之升浪,至昨日高位28,276点止计,在短短三周内,累积之升幅已达2,278点,论幅度该不算少,故需慎防大市会出现急升後之正常回吐及消化。
需留意的是,目前10天线已升至27,537点,且正以每天约196点之速度上升中,故只要大市作较明显之反覆,技术上可能有回试10天线之可能,因此,任何再冒高追入之短炒行动似不宜操之过急及过勇。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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