渣打大灣區營商指數按季升至50.2 顯示經濟持續復蘇
渣打與貿發局合作對粵港澳大灣區運營的1,000多家公司作調查的「大灣區營商景氣指數」公布最新季度結果,反映商業活動「現狀」的營商指數從去年第三季的42.4攀升至第四季的50.2,超過了50的中界線。雖然具前瞻性的「預期」指數從之前的56.2降至54.1,但依然處於擴張區間,表明隨著中國走過了新冠疫情後經濟復蘇曲線的最陡峭部分,經濟發展步伐進一步走向正軌。
子指數方面,在生產與銷售、訂單及利潤的帶動下,經濟正在全方位復蘇。「製造與貿易」超越「創新與科技」;在強勁生產與出口的帶動下,「製造與貿易」的「現狀」和「預期」指數分別錄得51.6和55.4,為表現最出色的行業。隨著貨幣政策轉向中性,製造業受訪者大多表示其借貸成本已觸底回升,但盈餘現金及應收賬款周轉率的改善抵消了這方面的影響。
城市方面,受惠於深圳和廣州的溢出效應下,東莞和佛山繼續迎頭追趕,該兩座城市的子指數跑贏其他城市。主題調查顯示,受訪者計劃在今年再次提升加薪幅度,相對於全球市場將更多依託境內市場,受訪者傾向擴大在大灣區大型內地城市的運營。
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