郭思治: 只要先低後高不變 大市該可續往上尋月內高位
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,昨天(3日)大市再進一步上創本月新高,恆指早市先高開91點至26,623點,其後曾一度反覆而低見26,556點,惟在騰訊(00700.HK)及匯控(00005.HK)做好的帶動下逐步回升,至午後大市更一度上升249點至26,781點,即技術上創本月新高,相對本月低位暫為1日之26,375點計,即本月大市已初呈先低後高之形態,而月內之波幅則暫為406點,從走勢上看,由於恆指已稍重越10天線(26,608點),故大市技術上已再呈欲試頂之形態,而所指的頂,首個該為11月25日之高位27,040點。
上文述及,本月恆指暫是由1日之低位26,375點升至3日之高位26,781點,論形態則已初呈先低而後高,需留意的是,一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於三個交易日之內,加上406點之波幅亦不能滿足月內之所需,故只要恆指暫不會跌穿26,375點,在先低後高之形態主導下,更高之指數該仍在後頭,當然,恆指必需續穩企於10天線(26,608點)之上。
傳統而言,12月份該有若干粉飾廚窗活動,而照目前之市況看,相關活動即使不會太明顯,但至少可令大市續整固或扣緊於高台。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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