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板塊異動 | 教育股暴力反彈,天立教育漲超30%,成實外教育漲超15%

uSMART盈立智投11月12日消息,週四港股早盤,教育股集體反彈,截至9:51分,天立教育漲超30%,成實外教育漲超15%,大地教育漲超14%,睿見教育漲超13%,楓葉教育漲超11%,思考樂教育、新高教集團、宇華教育漲超6%。

教育部11月10日刊發《關於政協十三屆全國委員會第三次會議第4842號(教育類379號)提案答覆的函(摘要)》指出,根據《民辦教育促進法》,非營利性民辦學校的舉辦者不得取得辦學收益,學校的辦學結餘全部用於辦學。爲保障非營利性民辦學校舉辦者權益,迴應舉辦者訴求,教育部對合法合規的關聯交易持開放態度。

另外還值得注意的是,教育部昨日發佈《關於擬同意設置本科高等學校的公示》,擬同意21所獨立學院轉設爲獨立設置的本科學校。

國信證券11月9日的研究報告指出,港股教育公司走出近月持續震盪和下行趨勢,近期可能出現投資機遇

國信海外教育觀點:

1.市場預期民促法實施條例近期出臺概率提升,相關事宜對板塊影響具有不確定性;因此臨近年底,避險情緒較爲濃厚。我們認爲,實施條例對民辦教育行業明確定位、理清發展頭緒、確定後續執行細則,均具有重要的指導作用。相關政策落地有利於消除壓制板塊估值的不確定性擔憂,對板塊的長期良性發展具有積極意義

2.市場資金在8月至今風格切換、配置復甦主線的趨勢明顯。教育板塊因上半年實現較大漲幅、行業性利好告一段落、業績處於真空期內,整體關注度有所減弱。隨着時間臨近11月底,部分頭部教育公司即將發佈2020FY財報,而其他行業處於業績真空期,我們對市場關注度重新提升和資金情緒回暖抱有樂觀預期

3.頭部公司基本面持續健康向上,業績增速並未減緩。同時,股價下跌疊使得將會開始向2021-2022年切換的估值更具吸引力。我們認爲,經過數月的橫盤和下跌,港股教育板塊有望在未來一段時間出現政策面、基本面、資金面的積極共振

4.重點推薦:新東方、宇華教育、新東方在線、中國東方教育、東軟教育、華夏視聽教育等。建議關注:希望教育、中教控股、中國科培、新高教、中彙集團等。

風險提示

市場風險偏好發生重大轉變;公司運營出現負面事件;政策出臺不及預期。

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