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郭思治: 上周两个上升裂口乃後市之隐忧
阿思达克 11-09 09:59
港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市已开始步入11月份之中旬,而直到目前一刻止计,大市之形态仍暂属先低而後高,恒指暂是由2日之低位24,232点升至6日之高位25,800点,即在短短五个交易日内,累积之升幅已达1,568点,论步伐确有点偏促,故如成交金额不能保持畅旺,则市势或会先稍作整固及消化,值得留意的是,恒指目前已成功升越250天线(25413点),论形态该已渐呈欲试顶之格局,故只要恒指能续稳守在250天线之上,少许反覆问题不大。

需留意的是,一个月之高低位是不该同时出现在5个交易日之内,故只要先低後高之形态不变,大市仍会候机再上寻月内新高,从走势上看,暂时之目标该为8月31日之高位25,847点,如能突破此关,目标该直指7月7日之高位26,782点,此乃今年第二个高位,首个高位为1月20日之高位29,174点。

上周之急升,遗留下两个中型上升裂口,第一个在3日出现,介乎24,486点至24,689点,阔203点,第二个在5日出现,介乎25,093点至25,343点,阔250点,此两个上升裂口该为市後之隐忧。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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