郭思治: 大市形態偏穩 惟氣氛略帶保守
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(17日)在傳統恆指成份股做好帶動下再創月內新高。恆指早市先輕微高開29點至25,212點,其後曾稍為拉鋸而低見25,163點。惟在沽壓收斂之餘,買盤亦漸見主動,故市勢卒逐步上升,至午後更一度高見25,588點。即是說,相對本月低位暫為7日之24,167點計,本月之波幅已擴闊至1,354點。論幅度該不算少,惟只要傳統恆指成份股仍偏強,大市當然有機會再進一步上尋月內高位。
從技術上看,以恆指昨日報收在25,347點計,恆指仍續穩守於10天線(24,978點)、50天線(24,976點)、20天線(24,923點)及100天線(24,391點)之上,技術上該有利於再伺機上試250天線25,802點。但有點美中不足之處便是交投仍偏疏,以昨天之成交金額僅為1,287億元計,動力方面明顯並不相配。如情況仍未見改善,擔心大市之升勢會漸受規限。
另外,新經濟股稍見反覆,目前較關鍵的是騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)之走勢能否擺脫整固不前之困局。由於當中略涉及政治因素,故短期走勢確有點難測。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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