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郭思治: 大市技術上已開始進入中期調整之中
阿思達克 08-10 11:02
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,本月大市經過上周五(7日)一輪急挫後,由於恆指曾一度低見24,167點,即技術上已跌穿3日之低位24,250點,故本月大市之形態現已扭轉為先高而後低,恆指暫是由6日之高位25,201點跌至7日之低位24,167點,即月內之波幅已稍擴闊至1,034點,需留意的是,大市於3日及7日之日中均曾跌穿100天線,即恆指曾兩度跌穿所有常用之平均移動線,單後走勢上看,大市明顯已轉弱,且亦已亮起中期調整之警號,而自7月7日高位26,782點開始之調整,至今已運行四周,如大市之弱勢未變,則整固反覆欲試低位之弱態可能會延續至8月20日,即預期會有約6周之反覆回落。

目前中美問題正續步升級,影響所及,單看騰訊(00700.HK)股價於上周五(7日)曾一度自559元大幅急挫至499.4元,已可得知市場已開始受累,在避險情緒漸升溫下,只要沽壓再稍作主動,整個大市憂難走出困局,面對持續反覆不明之市勢,投資者當需提高戒心,即任何短線投機活動,一旦形勢不對便需理性減磅或止蝕。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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