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郭家耀: 科網龍頭領升大市 港股料挑戰26,000
阿思達克 07-22 10:08
正榮金融業務部副總裁郭家耀稱,美股周二(21日)個別發展,市場繼續關注歐美各國加推大規模刺激政策,以應對肺炎疫情對經濟影響,道指一度急升超過300點,收市前升幅收窄。科技股急升後有回吐,納指逆市向下。美元走勢持續偏軟,油價亦輕微向下,金價走勢則向好,美國十年期債息回落至0.60厘水平。港股預託證券大致向下,預料大市早段跟隨低開。

內地股市靠穩,滬綜指收市上升0.2%,企穩3,300點水平,滬深兩市成交額繼續保持活躍。

港股在一眾科技股帶領下展現突破,指數重上多條移動平均線水平,成交亦相當活躍。外圍氣氛保持向好,科網龍頭走勢強勁,預料大市可維持反覆上升格局,挑戰26,000點阻力,下方支持在25,000點水平。

另國家統計局在日前發布6月份零售數據,內地線上商品零售額增速從由第一季度的5.9%進一步反彈至25.2%。快遞包裹量復甦保持穩定,同比增長37%。內地6月份零售總額則同比下滑1.8%,較前數月跌幅明顯收窄。除餐飲、服裝、珠寶、汽油及汽車消費外,大多數消費類別都恢復同比正增長。數據顯示線上零售的急劇復甦的態勢持續,與618購物節的強勁數據一致。

阿里在618的商品交易總額為6,980億元人民幣,京東為2,690億元人民幣,表現相當強勁。在需求回升和政策支持的推動下,加上用戶在線上購物花費的總時間增加,下半年消費復甦趨勢令人期待。隨著消費者逐漸習慣於線上購物及線上線下購物形式,進一步提升在線零售滲透率,電商平台前景繼續樂觀。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,沒持有上述股份)~

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