《業績前瞻》券商料瑞聲(02018.HK)去年純利倒退逾三成 聚焦疫情對前景影響
瑞聲科技(02018.HK)將於下周三(25日)公布去年業績,市場料公司受智能手機行業轉弱、兼受累總體毛利率承壓所拖累,本網綜合25間券商預料,瑞聲科技2019年純利介乎20.18億至25.67億人民幣,較2018年37.96億人民幣,按年跌32.4%至46.8%;中位數23.49億人民幣,按年下滑38.1%。
綜合21間券商預料,瑞聲科技2019年毛利率介乎27.9%至30.7%,較2018年37.2%,按跌6.5個百分點至9.3個百分點;中位數29.3%,按年跌7.9個百分點。投資者將關注新冠疫情對行業需求、產業鏈影響,擔心蘋果公司供需兩端或會面臨潛在風險,並將聚焦瑞聲管理層對今年收入及毛利率指引。
【料純利倒退 憂今年前景】
匯豐環球研究料瑞聲去年按年少賺40.8%至22.46億人民幣,料收入錄185.27億人民幣按年升2.2%,料動圈器件業務收入錄84.92億人民幣、料電磁傳動及精密器件收入74.44億人民幣、估計微機電系統器件收入10.57億人民幣。該行料瑞聲去年每股盈利1.85元人民幣按年跌41%,料每股全年股息0.74元人民幣按年跌41%,料綜合毛利率回落至28.5%。
瑞信料瑞聲去年按年少賺41.5%至22.22億人民幣,估計公司去年第四季業績將遜市場預期,主要是安卓手機聲學及外殼產品平均產品售價承壓,受同業競爭挑戰,並關注全球智能手機行業前景。
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本網綜合25間券商預料,瑞聲科技2019年純利介乎20.18億至25.67億人民幣,較2018年37.96億人民幣,按年跌32.4%至46.8%;中位數23.49億人民幣,按年下滑38.1%。
券商│2019年純利預測(人民幣)│按年變幅
法巴│25.67億元│-32.4%
海通國際│25.47億元│-32.9%
光大證券│25.17億元│-33.7%
招商證券國際│24.76億元│-34.8%
摩根大通│24.69億元│-35%
銀河-聯昌│24.26億元│-36.1%
中銀國際│24.23億元│-36.2%
工銀國際│24.12億元│-36.5%
野村│24.08億元│-36.6%
美銀證券│23.82億元│-37.2%
廣發證券│23.69億元│-37.6%
國泰君安│23.56億元│-37.9%
傑富瑞│23.49億元│-38.1%
大華繼顯│23.44億元│-38.3%
建銀國際│23.13億元│-39.1%
高盛│22.48億元│-40.8%
匯豐環球研究│22.46億元│-40.8%
中信建投│22.28億元│-41.3%
瑞信│22.22億元│-41.5%
中金│22.13億元│-41.7%
花旗│21.8億元│-42.6%
申萬宏源│21.6億元│-43.1%
國信證券│21.42億元│-43.6%
星展│20.39億元│-46.3%
摩根士丹利│20.18億元│-46.8%
按瑞聲2018年純利37.96億人民幣推算
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本網綜合21間券商預料,瑞聲科技2019年毛利率介乎27.9%至30.7%,較2018年37.2%,按跌6.5個百分點至9.3個百分點;中位數29.3%,按年跌7.9個百分點。
券商│2019年毛利率預測│按年變幅
銀河-聯昌│30.7%│跌6.5個百分點
招商證券國際│30.7%│跌6.5個百分點
高盛│30%│跌7.2個百分點
工銀國際│29.7%│跌7.5個百分點
大華繼顯│29.7%│跌7.5個百分點
海通國際│29.5%│跌7.7個百分點
廣發證券│29.5%│跌7.7個百分點
美銀證券│29.4%│跌7.8個百分點
傑富瑞│29.4%│跌7.8個百分點
國泰君安│29.4%│跌7.8個百分點
野村│29.3%│跌7.9個百分點
中金│29.2%│跌8個百分點
摩根大通│29.2%│跌8個百分點
國信證券│29.2%│跌8個百分點
中銀國際│29%│跌8.2個百分點
建銀國際│29%│跌8.2個百分點
瑞信│28.8%│跌8.4個百分點
申萬宏源│28.7%│跌8.5個百分點
匯豐環球研究│28.5%│跌8.7個百分點
花旗│28.2%│跌9個百分點
中信建投│27.9%│跌9.3個百分點
按瑞聲2018年毛利率37.2%推算
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