《瑞信窩輪》【瑞信股輪點評】期油期指顯著受壓,恆指或下試兩萬五
急升後急跌 恆指暫守兩萬六走勢分析港股再度急挫,恆指周五承接外圍跌勢低開逾300點,已經失守10天線,之後跌幅逐步擴大,低位曾急跌逾680點,險守兩萬六關口,收市仍跌逾620點。新型肺炎在其他國家持續擴散,疫情負面影響持續;加上產油國沙特阿拉伯掀起價格戰,油價急跌下,外圍股市期貨亦顯著捱沽。短線或需將支持下移至兩萬五,兩萬六或會修建為阻力。策略概要港股急跌,好淡倉均有資金考慮。博反彈的好友再度下移至收回價在兩萬六以下的牛證,而指數期貨急跌下,或會有大批牛證周一被收回,好友或需再向下換馬。恆指再度失守10天線,疫情未明下,淡倉有資金沽出遠價熊證,再換馬至較低收回價的產品。較多投資者考慮收回價在26,500點的近價熊證,觀望大市再回套的機會。恆指牛證57333,收回價24800點,行使價24700點,槓桿比率約20.0倍,兌換比率12000。恆指牛證59287,收回價24728點,行使價24628點,槓桿比率約19.3倍,兌換比率12000。恆指熊證54336,收回價26488點,行使價26588點,槓桿比率約41.1倍,兌換比率12000。恆指熊證61359,收回價26568點,行使價26668點,屬新上市產品,兌換比率12000。恆指認購證21642,行使價27,333點,20年07月到期,實際槓桿約13.1倍。恆指認沽證14539,行使價24,908點,20年05月到期,實際槓桿約9.9倍。阿里暫守200元 騰訊再失400元走勢分析新經濟股跟隨大市回軟,阿里巴巴(9988)周五低位曾跌逾2%,一度回落至203元以下,再度失守10天線,收市跌逾1%。向上仍以重上210元為目標,支持參考200元關口。重磅股騰訊(0700)周五再受壓,低位曾跌逾2%,低見395元水平,收市維持逾2%的跌幅,幾乎將周四的升幅全數蒸發。短線或傾向維持在400元關口爭持,支持參考390元水平。策略概要阿里回套,資金開好倉博反彈,主要考慮行使價約230元的認購證,或參考200元為支持位,選擇收回價在該水平以下的牛證。騰訊再度失守400元關口,資金反手開好倉,主要考慮行使價約420元的認購證,以價外幅度計,部署上未見進取。淡倉有資金獲利,亦留意行使價約360元的認沽證追沽。阿里認購證18082,行使價230.88元,20年07月到期,實際槓桿約9.3倍。阿里認沽證21845,行使價184.9元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約7.8倍。阿里牛證60643,收回價195.58元,行使價193.58元,槓桿比率約16.8倍。阿里熊證53173,收回價208.88元,行使價210.88元,槓桿比率約25.2倍。騰訊認購證17622,行使價419.88元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約10.1倍。騰訊認沽證18411,行使價359.8元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約9.3倍。騰訊牛證54308,收回價385.88元,行使價383.08元,槓桿比率約26.7倍。騰訊熊證52992,收回價406.88元,行使價409.68元,槓桿比率約26.4倍。匯豐險守50元 友邦將公布業績走勢分析匯豐控股(0005)再度捱沽,周五再跌逾2%,低位暫守50元關口,收市仍維持逾2%的跌幅。匯豐近日在聯儲局減息後曾顯著受壓,向上有待重上52元,支持續留意50元關口。友邦保險(1299)周五呈弱勢,低位曾跌近3%,險守75元水平,收市維持約2%的跌幅。友邦將於周四公布業績,向上以重上78元為首個目標,75元觀望重建支持。策略概要匯豐捱沽,資金繼續開好倉,但近期已因應股價顯著回落,為了減低持輪風險,或可逐步下移至行使價在55元以下的認購證;又或參考50元為支持位,考慮收回價低於該水平的牛證。友邦再度捱沽,資金開好倉博反彈,進取好友主要考慮行使價約83元的價外認購證;保守好友則留意行使價在80元以下、面值較低的50兌1認購證,減低價外幅度。匯豐認購證23429,行使價54.88元,20年09月到期,屬新上市產品。匯豐認沽證22791,行使價50.88元,20年08月到期,實際槓桿約6.5倍。匯豐牛證53761,收回價48.38元,行使價47.38元,槓桿比率約14.5倍。匯豐熊證54318,收回價54.08元,行使價55.08元,槓桿比率約9.4倍。友邦認購證21849,行使價83.43元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約14.0倍。友邦認購證19812,行使價78.93元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約10.5倍。友邦認沽證18296,行使價69.63元,20年06月到期,實際槓桿約11.1倍。友邦牛證59547,收回價72.68元,行使價72.08元,槓桿比率約18.1倍。友邦熊證65792,收回價81.88元,行使價82.48元,槓桿比率約11.0倍。 (本結構性產品並無抵押品)《瑞信香港認股證及牛熊證銷售主管何啟聰》 免責聲明:筆者為瑞士信貸(香港)有限公司的代表 ,並身為證監會持牌人,並無持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本文內容僅供參考,並不構成要約、建議或促使任何人士提呈買賣或認購任何證券。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者或會蒙受全盤損失。本產品並無抵押品。如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時(i)N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii)R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。有關恆生指數或恆生中國企業指數的免責聲明,請參閱上市文件。過往表現並不反映將來表現。投資前,投資者應瞭解風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市文件。瑞信之聯屬公司為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者。本文任何內容概不構成投資、法律、會計或稅務意見、並無聲明任何投資或策略適合或符合閣下的個別情況。結構性產品交投量並不是結構性產品表現的指標,投資者不應僅依賴交投量歷史高位數據以釐定結構性產品日後的表現。~重要聲明: 以上資訊由第三方提供,AASTOCKS.com Limited對於任何包含於、經由、連結、下載或從任何與本網站有關服務所獲得之資訊、內容或廣告,不聲明或保證其內容之正確性或可靠性。對於您透過本網站上之廣告、資訊或要約而展示、購買或取得之任何產品、資訊資料,本公司亦不負品質保證之責任。
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