郭家耀: 港股短期料續波動 關注煤電區域整合國策
正榮金融業務部副總裁郭家耀稱,美股周三(4日)反彈,再有消息傳出中美雙方快將達成首階段協議,有望在月中提高關稅限期前完成,提振大市氣氛,美股三大指數均錄得升幅收市。美元走勢偏軟,美國十年期債息回升至1.77厘水平,油價走勢繼續向好。港股預託證券大致向上,預料大市早段跟隨外圍高開。內地股市走勢偏軟,市場憂慮中美貿易談判缺乏進展,滬綜指收市下跌0.2%,滬深兩市成交額持續低迷。
港股跟隨外圍向下,指數一度跌穿26,000點水平,尾市低位略為反彈,成交保持清淡。市況繼續受中美貿易談判消息困擾,預料短期走勢仍然波動,維持於25,800至26,500點水平上落。
另消息指國務院國資委近日發布央企煤電資源區域整合試點方案,計劃開展央企重點區域煤電資源整合試點工作,力爭到2021年底,試點區域煤電產能壓降四分之一至三分之一。
消息指方案主要涉及的央企包括中國華能、中國大唐、中國華電、國家電投和國家能源集團,視具體情況可適度擴展至國投和華潤集團等其他涉煤電中央企業。國資委計劃通過區域整合優化資源配置,淘汰落後產能、減少同質化競爭,緩解經營困難。到2021年底,試點區域煤電協同持續增強,平均設備利用小時明顯上升,整體減虧超過50%,資產負債率明顯下降。方案確定甘肅、陝西、新疆、青海和寧夏5個煤電產能過剩、煤電企業連續虧損的區域為首批試點區域。確定中國華能牽頭甘肅,中國大唐牽頭陝西,中國華電牽頭新疆,國家電投牽頭青海,國家能源集團牽頭寧夏。
方案要求依法合規開展資產重組置換,以產權無償劃轉為主,市場轉讓為輔,盡量不產生現金交易,人員、負債隨資產一併劃轉。上市公司所屬煤電企業,將股權上移至母公司後再劃轉,也可以市場化方式轉讓或置換。方案將有利扭轉行業持續虧損的情況,而資產的合併重組,相關電力集團或需進行私有化上市公司才可實現,可留意相關的機會。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,沒持有上述股份)~
阿思達克財經新聞
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