郭家耀: 港股短期料续波动 关注煤电区域整合国策
正荣金融业务部副总裁郭家耀称，美股周三(4日)反弹，再有消息传出中美双方快将达成首阶段协议，有望在月中提高关税限期前完成，提振大市气氛，美股三大指数均录得升幅收市。美元走势偏软，美国十年期债息回升至1.77厘水平，油价走势继续向好。港股预托证券大致向上，预料大市早段跟随外围高开。内地股市走势偏软，市场忧虑中美贸易谈判缺乏进展，沪综指收市下跌0.2%，沪深两市成交额持续低迷。
港股跟随外围向下，指数一度跌穿26,000点水平，尾市低位略为反弹，成交保持清淡。市况继续受中美贸易谈判消息困扰，预料短期走势仍然波动，维持於25,800至26,500点水平上落。
另消息指国务院国资委近日发布央企煤电资源区域整合试点方案，计划开展央企重点区域煤电资源整合试点工作，力争到2021年底，试点区域煤电产能压降四分之一至三分之一。
消息指方案主要涉及的央企包括中国华能、中国大唐、中国华电、国家电投和国家能源集团，视具体情况可适度扩展至国投和华润集团等其他涉煤电中央企业。国资委计划通过区域整合优化资源配置，淘汰落後产能、减少同质化竞争，缓解经营困难。到2021年底，试点区域煤电协同持续增强，平均设备利用小时明显上升，整体减亏超过50%，资产负债率明显下降。方案确定甘肃、陕西、新疆、青海和宁夏5个煤电产能过剩、煤电企业连续亏损的区域为首批试点区域。确定中国华能牵头甘肃，中国大唐牵头陕西，中国华电牵头新疆，国家电投牵头青海，国家能源集团牵头宁夏。
方案要求依法合规开展资产重组置换，以产权无偿划转为主，市场转让为辅，尽量不产生现金交易，人员、负债随资产一并划转。上市公司所属煤电企业，将股权上移至母公司後再划转，也可以市场化方式转让或置换。方案将有利扭转行业持续亏损的情况，而资产的合并重组，相关电力集团或需进行私有化上市公司才可实现，可留意相关的机会。
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