郭思治: 大市反覆 宜先睇紧50天线之支持
帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,昨天大市整日都在反覆偏软中进行,恒指早市先低开140点至27,212点,其後在零碎沽压主导下续往下移,日中低位为26,976点,即此刻恒指似欲回试50天线(26,945点)之支持,惟幸是未有跌破,末段略见反弹,恒指最後报收27,124点,较上日跌228点,全日总成交金额为813亿元,从走势上看,昨天之反覆该只属急升後之高台整固及消化而已,因恒指自本月3日低位25,498点开始之抽升,至13日高位27,366点止计,在9个交易日内,累积之升幅已达1868点,实不算少矣,故略为回吐乃正常现象,只是现需睇紧50天线之支持,因只要50天线一日未失,即表示整个反弹趋势仍未受破坏。
大市在本月底前能否作进一步之推升,当需视乎主要恒指成份股之表现而定,包括腾讯(00700.HK),友邦(01299.HK),汇控(00005.HK),建行(00939.HK),工行(01398.HK),中行(03988.HK)及平保(02318.HK)等,因此七只蓝筹在恒指内之成份比重占达50.09%,对大市之影响性确实不少,故在本月余下之交易日,需睇紧上述七只蓝筹之表现。
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