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中国东方教育(00667.HK):经营效率提升,职教巨擘多点开花,给予“买入”评级
格隆汇 09-05 09:12

机构:天风证券

评级:买入

19H1长中国东方教育营收同比增长26.6%长,调后净利同比增长88.1%达到4.08亿元。

8月28日,公司发布半年报,19H1实现营收18.21亿元,同比增长26.6%;净利3.12亿元,同比增长44.2%;调后净利4.08亿元,同比增长88.1%。19H1营收增幅主要是由于平均培训人次及客户注册人数数目增加及每名学生/客户年平均学费/服务费增加。

入具体来看:新东方收入10.14亿(占总55.7%,同比-5.26pct),同比增长15.7%。

新华电脑收入3.49亿(占19.1%,+1.63pct),同比增长38.4%。万通收入2.46亿元(占13.5%,-0.11pct),同比增长25.4%。欧米奇收入1.55亿元(占8.5%,+2.84pct),同比增长90.0%。华信智原收入0.35亿(占1.9%,+0.54pct),同比增长77.0%;美味学院收入0.19亿元(占1.0%,+0.50pct),同比增长145.4%;其他分部收入0.04亿元。

本期成本7.14亿元,同比增长5.4%,包括教职工薪资及福利、教学相关消耗品及其他成本、租赁开支╱使用权折旧、校区维护及折旧、公用设施及办公开支。

毛利11.07亿元,同比增长45.4%;毛利率60.8%,同比增长7.9pct,主要由于2017年及2018年新开办若干学校及中心的毛利率在起步期间后趋于成熟,19H1该学校及中心使用率提升而令毛利率得以增加。

中国东方教育2019H1平均培训人次13.3万,同比增长11.3%。

按课程划分,长期课程平均培训人次11.85万,同比增长9.1%(其中,一年以上两年以下课程1.06万,同比减少8.5%;两年以上三年以下课程7.51万,同比减少2.8%;三年课程3.28万,同比增长65.8%);短期课程平均培训人次1.46万,同比增长33.6%。

具体来看:烹饪平均培训人次7.32万,同比增长1.2%。其中,新东方平均培训人次6.82万,同比减少1.9%。按课程划分,长期课程平均培训人次6.25万,同比减少3.7%;短期课程平均培训人次0.57万,同比增长23.6%。欧米奇平均培训人次0.42万(均为短期课程),同比增长79.9%。美味学院平均培训人次779(均为短期课程),同比增长76.2%。

维持盈利预测,给予买入评级。

东方教育作为中国提供职业技能教育先行者,课程有针对性地满足职业技能教育领域未获满足的需求,缩小雇主与学生间供需缺口。东方业务集中在向学生提供创新性职业技能教育,从而提高学生在不断变化的就业市场中的就业能力,并支持因中国持续的经济增长,城镇化及产业升级而带来的不断变化的劳动力需求。我们预计东方教育2019-21年归母净利分别为9.5亿、11.1亿、13.0亿,PE分别为29x、25X、21X。

风险提示:招生预期,核心人员流失等;民促法实施条例尚未落地

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