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跟谁学(GSX.US)发布上市后的第一份财报转亏为盈难掩获客成本大增
格隆汇 08-22 22:13

8月22日盘前,美上市在线教育公司——跟谁学发布了截至2019年6月30日第二季度财报。根据财报,Q2营收同比增长413.4%至3.54亿元(人民币,单位下同),总学费收款为5.99亿元,同比增长462.4%,净利润为5030万元,同比扭亏,去年同期为亏损400万元。

发布财报后,受超预期财报刺激,跟谁学盘前股价大涨9.19%。

2019Q2营收同比增长413.4%至3.54亿元,上半年,跟谁学实现营收6.23亿元,同比增长437.9%,增速较去年提速。

图:2017~2019H1 跟谁学营收与增速

2019Q2 non-GAAP毛利为2.67亿元,同比增长506.5%。2019H1 non-GAAP毛利为4.40亿元,同比增长547.9%,增速均大幅超越去年。

图:2017~2019H1 跟谁学non-GAAP毛利与增速

2019H1 跟谁学non-GAAP毛利率为71.4%,较去年提高11.4pct,non-GAAP净利率为11.1%,较去年同期提高13.8pct。净利率的提升一方面是靠毛利率的提高,另一方面,期间费用率亦有所下降。

图:2017~2019H1 跟谁学毛利率与净利润率

2019H1跟谁学期间费用率为61.1%,同比下降2.0pct。其中,销售费用率为43.1%,同比增加15.3pct,主要源于为了扩大用户规模及提高品牌知名度所增加的市场推广费用,以及销售和营销人员薪酬的增加。研发费用率为11.5%,同比减少12.2pct,管理费用率为6.5%,同比减少5.1pct。研发费用率与管理费用率的提升主要是因为规模效应。

图:2017~2019H1 跟谁学期间费用率

2019H1 跟谁学总付费人次达到803,000,较去年同期的240,000增长234.6%,半年报名人数超过了去年全年。这些付费学生总共贡献了约9.0亿元的学费,学费中部分计入了会计期间,剩下的递延到了下一季度。

截至2019年6月30日,跟谁学的递延收入余额为5.037亿元人民币,较2018年12月31日的2.720亿元人民币增加85.1%。递延收入主要包括预收暑秋学期的学费。

图:2017~2019H1 跟谁学入学人数

另外,根据公司预测,2019年第三季度营收应介于4.86亿元至5.06亿元之间,同比增幅应介于390.9%至411.1%之间。

结论

6月6日,跟谁学以10.5美元的发行价正式登陆纽交所。以发行价计算,公司市值达24.68亿美元,超过了更早上市的另一个在线教育龙头——新东方在线,而新东方在线在前几日发的财报中,罕见的出现转亏,可见行业竞争之激烈。

7月16日,教育部等六部门联合发布了《关于规范校外线上培训的实施意见》,在线教育政策靴子落地,对相关标的实际是利好。跟谁学作为后起之秀,在难以盈利的在线教育行业中实现盈利,不过,上半年也出现了销售费用率大幅上升的现象,这不是个好消息。

根据最新财报计算,跟谁学的PE(TTM)=465.6倍,PS=29.8倍。不过现在看公司的PE意义不大,看一方面是公司创建时间不长,且仍处于高速增长时期,营收与利润的体量还较小,市场给出的高估值主要是未来的增长潜力,另一方面,公司刚刚实现盈利,利润规模较小。并且,公司于两个月前上市,还未过解禁期,流通股少加上市值小,股价容易出现大幅波动,对待这种股票投资者宜保持谨慎。

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