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高盛上調中美貿易戰影響評估下調美國末季經濟增長預測至1.8%
阿思達克 08-12 08:05

高盛經濟師發表報告,指中美貿易戰導致經濟衰退的憂慮增加,該行已不預期中美能在美國明年11月總統大選前達成貿易協議,美國對餘下3,000億美元中國貨品的關稅將會落實。

高盛亦下調美國第四季經濟增長預測20點子至1.8%,指中美貿易緊張發展的影響大於原來預期。報告表示,該行上調貿易戰對經濟增長影響的預測,又指供應鏈受干擾造成的投入成本上漲,可導致美國企業減少在美國本土的經濟活動,相關政策不確定性或同時導致企業減少資本開支。

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